A short paper on one of the topics corresponding to a chapter in Grieco et al. (chs. 3 and 13 excluded) or on the topic of formal theory corresponding to Bueno de Mesquita’s book. The paper should demonstrate a thorough understanding of the major political science theories pertaining to the chosen topic, with emphasis on what these theories lead us to expect about current events and future developments in international relations. Additional readings and sources from political science literature and/or professional journalism (properly cited!) are encouraged but not required.