International Finance?? FIN420?Research Project
Page 176 Internet Exercise. Textbook. International Financial Management
Weighting 25% of total marks
Please read chapter 4 thoroughly.
1) Using data from the OECD, compare the most recent PPP exchange rates for the euro, British pound, and Japanese yen, with the nominal exchange rates. What differences do you observe? What accounts for these differences?
2) Using OECD data, plot the PPP exchange rates for the British pound, Japanese yen, Australian dollar, and Korean won. Have these PPP exchange rates gone up or down over time? What accounts for the changes in these PPP exchange rates over time?
3) Find the 90-day interest rates from the Financial Times website for the US. dollar, Japanese yen, euro, Polish zloty, Russian ruble, and British pound. Are the yield differentials on these currencies consistent with the forward rates reported in the Wall Street Journal? What might account for any differences?
4) Examine forecasts from www.tradingeconomics.com
5) For the British pound, Japanese yen, Russian ruble, and euro.
(a) Which of these currencies are forecast to appreciate and which to depreciate?
(b) Compare these forecasts to the forward rates for the same maturity. Are the predicted exchange rates greater or less than the corresponding forward rates?
(c) Compare these forecasts to the actual exchange rates. How accurate were these forecasts?
This is a group exercise. Chapter 4 MUST be read thoroughly before attempting this research.
SUGGESTED METHODOLOGY
1. Definitions
2. Annualizing data – why? define, explain
3. Moving Average – why? define, explain
4. Lagging data – why? explain
5. Graphs – individual/groups – label clearly graph and fonts
6. Descriptive statistics
7. Forecasting
SUGGESTED STRUCTURE OF REPORT
1. Coversheet
2. Table of content
3. Introduction
4. Methodology
5. Results
6. Limitations
7. Conclusion
8. Citation & reference list